lunes, 7 de febrero de 2011

Egipto, 14 días

La oposición y los manifestantes desconfían de las promesas del régimen egipcio

El vicepresidente Suleimán, que ayer se reunió con los grupos anti-Mubarak, incluido un representante de los Hermanos Musulmanes, ofrece revisar la Constitución, pero no da garantías.- La multitud concentrada en El Cairo sigue exigiendo la dimisión de Mubarak

ENRIC GONZÁLEZ - El Cairo - 07/02/2011
El régimen egipcio resiste. Y demuestra que, con Hosni Mubarak o sin él, será difícil arrancarle concesiones significativas. El vicepresidente Omar Suleimán se reunió ayer con una delegación de opositores en la que figuraba un representante de los Hermanos Musulmanes. Eso supuso una novedad, ya que el ilegal movimiento islamista fue siempre el espantajo del régimen, la excusa de la dictadura...


Los rostros de la resistencia

Un médico, un investigador, una profesora, una estudiante y un parado cuentan por qué seguirán en la plaza de la Liberación hasta que Mubarak se vaya

GEORGINA HIGUERAS | El Cairo 07/02/201


Los Hermanos Musulmanes, pioneros del islamismo político, buscan la moderación

G. HIGUERAS | El Cairo (Enviada Especial) 07/02/2011

Los Hermanos Musulmanes, cuyos delegados se reunieron este domingo -pese a ser una organización ilegal? con el vicepresidente Omar Suleimán para buscar una salida a la crisis que azota Egipto, son los pioneros del islamismo político y los inspiradores de buena parte de los grupos islámicos radicales. Sin embargo, en la actual revuelta los Hermanos Musulmanes han tenido un especial interés en mostrar su cara más moderada, su voluntad de diálogo y su disposición a formar parte del nuevo Egipto democrático como una fuerza política más.
Hasan al Bana fundó en 1928 los Hermanos Musulmanes para expandir los valores islámicos entre una población que se occidentalizaba bajo el dominio británico. Combinó la labor caritativa, con la educativa. Además de enseñar los principios islámicos se defendía un Estado libre del yugo colonial y gobernado por la sharía o ley islámica. Ahora, aunque no han renunciado a su imposición, aseguran que no es ese su objetivo.
Enfrentados de forma cada día más violenta al poder colonial, los Hermanos Musulmanes fueron ilegalizados en 1948, después de que se les acusara de estar detrás del asesinato del entonces primer ministro Mahmud al Nugrashi. Aunque Al Bana lo rechazó, fue asesinado poco después por, según sus seguidores, policías vestidos de civiles.
La organización no fue legalizada hasta la caída de la monarquía y la salida de los británicos, tras el golpe de Estado de Gamal Abdel Nasser. Los Hermanos Musulmanes llegaron a la nueva República como una fuerza muy compacta cuya filosofía se radicalizaba con los sermones de Sayid Qutb, su principal ideólogo tras la desaparición del fundador.
El periodo de gracia duró apenas dos años. La animadversión entre Nasser y los Hermanos Musulmanes fue evidente. El atentado fallido contra el presidente más popular de Egipto, en 1954, sirvió para desatar la caza de miembros de esta organización.
La llegada de Anuar el Sadat, en 1970, tras el fallecimiento de su predecesor, mejoró la situación de los Hermanos Musulmanes, bajo cuyo paraguas comenzaban a surgir grupos armados mucho más violentos, como la Yihad Islámica, y posteriormente la misma Al Qaeda. Sadat fue víctima, en 1981, de la Yihad Islámica por haber firmado la paz con Israel.
Al subir al poder, Hosni Mubarak optó por una cierta tolerancia de la organización, en cuyas filas ganaban espacio los moderados. En 2000 se les autorizó a acudir a las urnas como independientes y obtuvieron 17 escaños. Cuando en las elecciones de 2005 se hicieron con el 20% de los diputados, el régimen se sintió amenazado. De nuevo, muchos miembros de la organización fueron detenidos.
La actual revuelta les pilló desprevenidos y hasta pasados un par de días no se sumaron a ella. La organización, dirigida por Mohamed Badie, sabe que se juega la posibilidad de hacer historia y formar parte de un Gobierno de unidad nacional que siente las bases de un Egipto democrático.



Egipto aprende a convivir en la plaza de la Liberación

Fieles de diferentes credos se congregan en una oración

NURIA TESÓN - El Cairo - 07/02/2011

Los manifestantes llevan a hombros a un musulmán con un Corán (izquierda) y a un copto con una cruz.- REUTERS

Egipto, centro de atención mundial tras 14 días de protesta

La plaza de la Liberación se pertrecha para una larga resistencia hasta la marcha de Mubarak

La reunión del Gobierno con la oposición para ofrecer reformas no aplaca la protesta y en la plaza de la Liberación, epicentro de las protestas, aumentan los acampados.- El Ejecutivo anuncia que subirá los salarios de los funcionarios un 15%

G. HIGUERAS/ E. GONZÁLEZ/ N. TESÓN | Enviados especiales en El Cairo 07/02/2011

Los manifestantes, en la plaza de la Liberación de El Cairo, tras 14 días de protesta.- EFE

Reacios ante las moderadas propuestas de reforma del Gobierno, los manifestantes de la plaza de la Liberación se preparan para una larga resistencia. No cederán hasta que el presidente Hosni Mubarak se vaya. El recinto, centro neurálgico de las masivas protestas contra el régimen, se ha llenado de nuevo hoy, tras dos semanas de manifestaciones, con integrantes de todas las capas sociales. Entre los que permanecen concentrados aumentan quienes deciden acampar, dispuestos a aguantar lo que haga falta hasta la marcha del rais. El presidente se ha reunido esta mañana por primera vez con el nuevo Gobierno en pleno y ha anunciado un aumento salarial para los empleados públicos.

Son varios miles de ciudadanos, la mayoría hombres, que organizan marchas y cánticos, desde primeras horas de la mañana. Sobre todo intentan impedir que los tanques del Ejército abandonen la plaza (algunos incluso duermen entre las ruedas de los vehículos). Entienden que su presencia garantiza que la revuelta pueda continuar y ofrecen cierta protección ante el hostigamiento de los partidarios del Gobierno. El clamor resuena en el centro de El Cairo. "¡Vete! ¡Mubarak, vete!", gritan los manifestantes. Desde EE UU, el presidente Barack Obama ha avisado esta mañana de que Egipto "ya no volverá a ser lo que era", y en una nueva comparecencia, horas más tarde, ha asegurado que se han hecho "progresos" en el proceso político. Pero ese proceso es todavía muy débil. Un dirigente de los Hermanos Musulmanes ha asegurado que podrían retirarse de las conversaciones si el Gobierno no se hace eco de sus peticiones. "Nuestra principal demanda", ha recordado Essam el Erian a Reuters, "es que Mubarak se vaya". Mientras, el país trata poco a poco de volver a la normalidad y sólo lo consigue a duras penas. Los bancos han reabierto pero las escuelas y la bolsa siguen cerrados, según informa la BBC.
El Gobierno, sin embargo, resiste y demuestra que, con Mubarak o sin él, será difícil arrancarle concesiones significativas. Tras la reunión del Consejo de Ministros, se ha anunciado una subida salarial del 15% a los funcionarios y la creación la un fondo para indemnizar a los comercios afectados por las revueltas. Han sido las primeras medidas, anunciadas por la agencia oficial MENA y recogidas por France Presse, tras el encuentro que mantuvo ayer el vicepresidente, Omar Suleimán, con la oposición.
Suleimán se reunió con una delegación de opositores en la que figuraba un representante de los Hermanos Musulmanes. Eso supuso una novedad, ya que el ilegal movimiento islamista fue siempre el espantajo del régimen, la excusa de la dictadura.
El vicepresidente ofreció ampliar la libertad de prensa, liberar a los presos "de conciencia", establecer una comisión consultiva sobre la reforma de la Constitución y cancelar, en un futuro indeterminado, un estado de excepción que dura desde 1981. Los delegados de la oposición abandonaron la reunión entre dubitativos y decepcionados. Llevaban dos semanas exigiendo la dimisión del presidente y asegurando que no negociarían mientras no se cumpliera esa reivindicación. Su encuentro con Suleimán se desarrolló, sin embargo, bajo un gran retrato del dictador, un punto simbólico a favor del inmovilismo. Ahmed Shafiq, el primer ministro, insistió de nuevo en que Mubarak agotaría su mandato y solo dejaría el cargo en septiembre, cuando se eligiera un nuevo presidente.
Sin grandes compromisos
Un análisis de las propuestas de Suleimán indicaba la determinación del régimen, ahora ya sinónimo de Ejército, de regular cuidadosamente los gestos de apertura y de no comprometerse demasiado. Ofreció, por ejemplo, liberar a los centenares de detenidos desde el martes 25, pero a la vez siguió arrestando a activistas y periodistas extranjeros y, sobre todo, a ciudadanos egipcios. Sin embargo, hoy se ha producido la liberación de algunos arrestados en las protestas. Entre otros, un alto cargo de la compañía estadounidense Google. Otro gesto de cambio ha sido el interrogatorio por parte de fiscales militares al anterior ministro del Interior, Habib el Adli, a quien han pedido explicaciones sobre su actuación en los primeros días de protestas. Según una fuente de seguridad citada por Reuters, El Adli está acusado de ordenar la retirada de las fuerzas de seguridad de las calles el día 28 de ese mes, lo que provocó un enorme caos (y el consiguiente relevo de Gabinete en el que perdió su cargo), a la vez que les autorizó para disparar fuego real contra los manifestantes.
En el proceso político, la idea de crear una comisión sobre la reforma constitucional que debería alcanzar conclusiones a principios de marzo resultaba atractiva; sin embargo, no existía garantía alguna de que esas conclusiones fueran a ser aceptadas. ¿Libertad de prensa? La hegemónica televisión pública seguía ofreciendo una cobertura aberrante de la crisis, mostrando imágenes de apoyo a Mubarak y atribuyendo la revuelta a espías y conspiradores extranjeros. Esos mensajes de fomento a la paranoia colectiva calaban en amplias capas de la sociedad. En un comunicado tras la reunión, Suleimán insistió en referirse a "elementos extranjeros que trabajan para minar nuestra estabilidad".
Continúan las protestas en la calle
La reunión de Suleimán con la oposición no convenció ayer a la multitud de la plaza de la Liberación. Arreciaron los gritos contra Mubarak y la voluntad de mantener la protesta (que ayer congregó de nuevo a muchas decenas de miles) hasta lograr sus objetivos, que incluyen la dimisión inmediata de Mubarak. También creció cierta desconfianza frente al Ejército, hasta ahora mimado por la multitud. Los esfuerzos militares por levantar las barricadas que protegían a los manifestantes, por reducir su espacio y por aislarlos del resto de El Cairo, junto a las peticiones de disolución de la protesta lanzadas por el ministro de Defensa y del jefe del Estado Mayor, dejaban pocas dudas sobre hacia dónde se inclinaban los mandos del Ejército.

Liberado un alto cargo de Google desaparecido tras participar en una manifestación

Acaba de ser puesto en libertad, Wael Ghonim, uno de los líderes de las protestas que se desarrollan desde el pasado 25 de enero en El Cairo. El joven responsable de Marketing de Google para Oriente Medio y el Norte de África, llevaba en paradero desconocido desde el pasado 27 de enero. Ha sido puesto en libertad esta tarde. Vivía en El Cairo, Egipto, y lo último que sus amigos sabían de él fueron unos mensajes que dejó en la red social twitter .
En la plaza de Tahrir le aclaman como un líder y llevaban pancartas con su nombre. Al mismo tiempo, los medios afines al Gobierno de Mubarak le presentaban como un traidor al régimen. El domingo, las autoridades egipcias, que hasta el momento habían permanecido en silencio, hablaron por fin y anunciaron su intención de liberarle. Según el multimillonario Naguib Sawiris, quien confirmó que el vicepresidente Omar Suleiman le había garantizado la liberación de Wael Ghonim, "es un heróe" para el pueblo egipcio.
NURIA TESÓN

domingo, 30 de enero de 2011

Opinión

El apoyo de los demócratas de Occidente
Por Eduardo Febbro
Desde París
p>Hosni Mubarak no tardará en reunirse con sus hermanos de sangre en el amplio panteón universal de los dictadores. Justicia, policía, derechos civiles, libertad de expresión, procesos electorales, no hay territorio democrático donde el régimen del presidente egipcio no haya pisoteado sus fundamentos. Y todo ocurría ante el asfixiante silencio de las democracias occidentales que le perdonaron a ese aliado central las violaciones a todos los valores que esas mismas democracias defienden, promueven y reiteran como esencia de la identidad occidental. Y sin embargo, lo mismo que ocurrió con la caída del corrupto presidente de Túnez y su clan –Ben Alí–, Occidente salió corriendo detrás de los hechos, se pegó a la cola de la historia que los pueblos estaban cambiando sin haber sido capaz de anticipar la proximidad de la fractura.
En el juego de las relaciones internacionales, Ben Alí y Mubarak eran aliados y amigos necesarios. En ese festival de alianzas y contradicciones, nadie se salva del oprobio, ni siquiera la izquierda del Viejo Continente. Los socialistas y los conservadores europeos que, con una tardanza cómica, se sumaron a media voz al apoyo a la Revolución de los Jazmines que estalló en Túnez son los mismos que pasaban sus vacaciones y sus mejores fines de semana en los palacios del dictador tunecino. Los demócratas ejemplares mantenían con el antídoto de cualquier democracia relaciones carnales.
Con Hosni Mubarak el vicio es todavía más imperdonable y la hipocresía no puede ocultar sus rasgos detrás de los tardíos llamados al cambio, a las reformas democráticas, al respeto del derecho de los pueblos a decidir por sí mismos. Del otro lado del Mediterráneo, durante décadas y décadas los pueblos no decidieron sino que fueron los intereses de las grandes potencias los que, en su afán de estabilidad y su obsesión por contar con interlocutores seguros, pasaron por la soga del silencio las abrumadoras violaciones a todos los derechos. Estados Unidos en primer lugar. El abanderado de la democracia mundial hizo de Egipto el aliado árabe de más trascendencia en la región. Mientras la estabilidad interna estuviese garantizada, poco importaba lo que ocurriera adentro. El Cairo cuenta, además, con atributos excepcionales que le valieron un perdón proporcionalmente excepcional. Entre las palabras y los hechos había un abismo en el que, de Túnez hasta Siria, pasando por Marruecos, Argelia, Jordania y Egipto, caían en el olvido miles y miles de inocentes.
Socio decisivo de la paz en Medio Oriente, guardián del estratégico Canal de Suez, modelo de posible exportación para otros países de la región, antídoto contra el islamismo radical, Egipto contó con el beneplácito y el respaldo de todos los sistemas democráticos del planeta, incluido el de las recobradas democracias latinoamericanas cuya historia pagó el peor de los tributos a la insaciable voracidad dictatorial de los militares. En 2010, la ayuda que Estados Unidos proporcionó a Egipto a cambio de su participación activa y positiva en el proceso de paz de Medio Oriente alcanzó los 1,3 mil millones de dólares mientras que la ayuda económica directa sumó 250 millones de dólares.
Egipto es el segundo receptor de la ayuda de Washington, justo detrás de Israel. La Unión Europea suministra una ayuda estrecha a El Cairo, unos 600 millones de euros, pero, en cambio, es su primer socio comercial en suministros con un intercambio de 15 mil millones de dólares y el primer inversor. La suma de la ayuda estadounidense es gigantesca y sirvió para mantener en pie una dictadura con el pretexto de un proceso de paz en punto muerto y el sacrosanto principio de luchar contra el fundamentalismo religioso. El miedo al Islam radical y antioccidental desempeñó un papel inverso: fue un espantapájaros para las verdaderas reformas democráticas, atrasó la emergencia de verdaderas corrientes progresistas y, a su manera brutal y descarnada, congeló la historia de millones de individuos y mantuvo en el poder la versión más ilegítima de gobierno. Compra de votos, represión, estructura policial del poder. La misma línea ha adoptado Israel. El país que se congratula por ser el único régimen auténticamente democrático de la región ha guardado un prolongado y temeroso silencio ante el nacimiento de un movimiento popular, joven y democrático en un país a la vez vecino y aliado.
Todo parece demostrar que, en ese segmento del mundo, la democracia es lo que más infunde miedo a los demócratas de Occidente. En la primera década del siglo XXI los pueblos árabes empiezan a deshacer las vendas del miedo con que sus gobiernos amordazaron sus voces y su libertad. Sería necesario que Occidente también deshiciera las suyas, esas vendan que le hacen tener miedo a la democracia según la zona geográfica en la cual ésta se expande.

Mujeres de Egipto (por Leil-Zahra Mortada)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
For everyone who has been asking where the women of Egypt are! I´m trying to compile all the photos with Egyptian women in them. A homage to all those women out there fighting, and whose voices and faces are hidden from the public eye! p.s. few of these ... photos were compiled by me, the rest were sent by people from all over after I published the album! I´m so grateful for everyone who is sending me photos and links, tagging me..etc. p.s. 2 I´m trying to confirm that all of these photos are from Egypt, if I publish any by mistake, forgive me! All revolutions are one in the end! If you have photos of women during the Egyptian revolution, please send me a link, or a message! The album seems to be picking up quite fast! Let´s pay these women and the people of Egypt the tribute they deserve for inspiring all of us! And here is a collection of photos dedicated to the women of Tunisia (from Le Monde - thanks to Raida) http://ow.ly/3MDyZ Tahya Tunes, Tahya MasrVer más
Facebook http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1618687786179&set=a.1543235379916.2074877.1205911830#!/album.php?aid=268523&id=586357675&fbid=493689677675

sábado, 29 de enero de 2011

China - Estados Unidos

China's Confucius Institutes

A WEEK before President Hu Jintao’s visit to America on January 18th the appearance of a giant bronze statue of Confucius on the east side of Tiananmen Square caused a stir in the Chinese capital. He is the first non-revolutionary to be commemorated on the hallowed ground of Chinese communism. The party, having once vilified the ancient sage, now depends on him in its attempts at global rebranding.
Mao Zedong, the only other figure permanently honoured at Tiananmen (a portrait of Sun Yat-sen is displayed twice a year), is considered a bit too controversial among foreigners to be part of this image-moulding effort. In 2004 China began setting up language schools abroad to extend its cultural reach. They were called Confucius Institutes, apparently to boost their appeal by disguising any links with communism.
During his trip to America, Mr Hu hopes Confucius will help him connect with ordinary Americans. His itinerary includes a visit to a high school in Chicago that is home to a Confucius Institute. Of about 320 such institutes worldwide, over one-fifth are in America. The United States is also home to more than 200 offshoot “Confucius Classrooms”.
China has been careful not to encourage these language centres to act as overt purveyors of the party’s political viewpoints, and little suggests they are doing so. But officials do say that an important goal is to give the world a “correct” understanding of China. An online Confucius Institute, also supported by the Chinese government, includes an article noting the “active” efforts of some unspecified Confucius Institutes in opposing independence for Tibet and Xinjiang, pro-democracy activism and the Falun Gong sect.
Promoting Confucianism is not part of their remit. Party officials use Confucius as a Father-Christmas-like symbol of avuncular Chineseness rather than as the proponent of a philosophical outlook. (Mao was more concerned with the philosophy, which he rallied the nation to attack as a legacy of the bad old days.) The new Confucius statue, on the other hand, appears to have struck a wrong note. Of more than 820,000 responses to an online poll conducted by the party newspaper, the People’s Daily, 62% opposed it. Mr Hu’s efforts at rebranding need some more explaining at home.

Sociología

Daniel Bell

  20th October 2000 
Between the 1950s and 1970s this American sociologist mapped out the intellectual terrain of the centre-left
The New York stock exchange pictured in 1963 (above). Daniel Bell’s work ‘The Cultural Contradictions of Capitalism’ grew out of his concern at the decline of American morals


The British political season is about to begin again. Within the next year we face the prospect of a general election-the first contest of Tony Blair’s “progressive century.” With this in mind, Labour’s party conference will be an occasion for stocktaking and thinking ahead. By all accounts, the party’s strategists are not finding it easy to put together a package of firm policies that they can hold out to the voters as their programme for a second term. But the underlying vision which sustains New Labour remains intact and overwhelmingly popular.
It is no longer fashionable to call it the third way, but the worldview which animates the Blair government is now familiar to the point of cliché. We live in a post-industrial society, where class distinctions and the old verities of left and right have lost much of their meaning. The government’s role in this new world should be to promote opportunity by enhancing people’s skills and education, and to prevent the exclusion of the disadvantaged. Above all, in Blair’s case, there is a semi-religious vision of community. While market capitalism is an unrivalled engine of prosperity, it also tends to break down the ties which bind us together. The political challenge is to reinforce solidarity without undermining growth.
The third way has had its critics, but the charges levelled against it have mostly been either of vacuity or of conservatism. On the novelty of their ideas, Blair and his favourite academic Anthony Giddens have been taken at their word. Yet the modern centre-left outlook has its genealogy; it is striking how much of it was anticipated by an American thinker, who put the basic elements in place 30 years ago.
The sociologist Daniel Bell is the unacknowledged prophet of the third way. In a path-breaking series of articles and books written between the 1950s and the 1970s, he mapped out the intellectual terrain on which the modernising centre-left has now pitched its tent. At the time, he was often an isolated figure, pilloried by both left and right. From today’s perspective, whether you agree with him or not, his work stands out as astonishingly prescient in its anticipation of the concerns and concepts which dominate political debate in both Britain and the US.
Daniel Bell is hardly an unrecognised thinker. In 1995, the Times Literary Supplement included two of his works, The End of Ideology and The Cultural Contradictions of Capitalism, in a list of the 100 most influential books written since 1945. Yet in Britain, Bell’s writing is not widely known among the younger generation of politicians, intellectuals and activists.
To some extent, Bell has suffered from the fact that his intellectual style is rooted in a world which has disappeared. He came to prominence as one of the so-called “New York intellectuals”-a group of mostly Jewish, ex-student radicals who colonised the highbrow end of American journalism in the middle decades of the last century. From the Jewish tradition of textual exposition, Bell and his peers developed a love of argument and high theory. They also had vast intellectual ambition. Bell himself once defined a New York intellectual as someone “who can speak for 15 minutes on any subject in the world.”
In his work and in conversation, Bell comes across as a compulsive spinner of ideas, restlessly processing a huge database of reading and information into a sequence of elaborate constructions. He has an undoubted knack for what would now be called a soundbite-”the end of ideology” or “post-industrial society”-but anyone who sits down to read his books must be prepared for some heavy work. The writer Michael Lind, who is an admirer of Bell, once compared The Coming of Post-Industrial Society to one of those legendary Chinese examinations in which candidates were supposed to write down everything they knew. The effect is amplified by Bell’s habit of garlanding new editions of his works with successive prefaces, forewords, afterwords and codas.
If the density and erudition of his writing sets Bell apart from contemporary journalistic social commentators, neither does he fit easily into the specialised world of university sociology. Although he taught at Chicago, Columbia and Harvard, he has always seemed happier as a wide-ranging critic than as an academic technician. Most of his important writing has appeared in intellectual magazines such as Partisan Review, Commentary, Encounter and The Public Interest rather than in academic journals. According to Alan Wolfe, a leading American sociologist, Bell has always been marginal to academic sociology. “But,” he adds, “I think that says more about academia than about Bell, because for me he is easily the greatest sociological mind now living.”
Looking back on his first important work, The End of Ideology, Bell once wrote that it fused “the experiences of my generation with a judgement about human nature and history.” He was born in 1919 and grew up in a Yiddish-speaking household in Manhattan’s Lower East Side. Like many poor young Jews, he embraced socialism-joining the Young People’s Socialist League at the age of 13. He likes to tell the story of how, when he went for his bar mitzvah, he told the rabbi that he had found socialism and didn’t believe in God. “So, kid, you don’t believe in God,” the rabbi replied. “Tell me, you think God cares?”
Bell later said that socialism gave him a way out of his immigrant neighbourhood into a wider world: “It revealed a world of ideas, a world of experience, a world of imagination… one became almost greedy in reaching for this.” At City College of New York, he found himself in the company of a group of bright and ambitious fellow students from similar backgrounds. Many of them would go on with Bell to form the core of the New York intelligentsia of their generation; among them Irving Kristol, Nathan Glazer, and Irving Howe. All four, at that time, were socialists or Trotskyists, and they conducted a running battle with the communist students who gathered in an adjoining alcove in the college cafeteria.
Bell and his friends were already fervent anti-Stalinists, but their views evolved after the US entered the war against Hitler and the true nature of Nazi and Soviet rule came to light. “Living through the 1930s and 1940s was a heartbreak house,” Bell later wrote. “There had been the Nazi death camps, barbarism beyond imagining; and the Soviet concentration camps, which cast a pall on all utopian visions. How was one to explain them?” In his twenties, Bell turned away from the idealistic dreams of his early years and, under the influence of theologian Reinhold Niebuhr, embraced a more sceptical view of human nature. “Ours is a generation that finds its wisdom in pessimism, evil, tragedy and despair,” he concluded.
Despite the gloom of Bell’s intellectual outlook, he continues to display-even in his eighties-a certain irrepressibility of spirit. According to him, “Optimism of the will, pessimism of the heart, has been the unresolved tension of my temperament.” Nevertheless, for Bell and many of his intellectual cohort, the evident bankruptcy of socialist utopianism brought a new appreciation of the checks and balances of the American liberal tradition during the 1950s. Distrustful of “emotion in politics, and of the politics of passions and hatreds,” Bell argued that the grand ideological visions of the 19th century had been exhausted. At the same time, he detected “a rough consensus among intellectuals on political issues”-by which he meant an acceptance of the welfare state, a mixed economy and political pluralism. Together, these arguments furnished the central thesis of The End of Ideology, which was published in 1960.
Bell admits that the notion that ideology had ended was by no means his alone. “I was part of a whole milieu in which these ideas were percolating,” he told me. He lists Tony Crosland, Raymond Aron and Ralf Dahrendorf as influences. Nevertheless, it was Bell who gave the concept its sharpest and most effective formulation. He captured an emerging sense that politics in western societies was becoming a debate about means rather than ultimate ends, and that the questions that remained to be solved were mostly technical. It was now accepted, he wrote, that “the dream of organising a society by blueprint was bound to fail,” and that the focus of government should be “within a framework of liberal values, on problem-solving as a means of remedying social ills.”
Rather like Francis Fukuyama’s The End of History and the Last Man-which 30 years later raised the argument to a global level-Bell’s book was controversial. It was seized on by the student radicals in the early 1960s as a symbol of what they were fighting against. “He got hammered,” recalls Todd Gitlin, who was then a leader of Students for a Democratic Society and now teaches sociology in New York. “In the New Left we were proud to be ideological… Bell was seen as complacent.” In fact, as Gitlin now admits, much of the criticism was unfair. Bell was not a defender of the status quo, but an advocate of incremental social change. His outlook matched that of the liberals who gathered in the Kennedy and early Johnson administrations: they sought to expand opportunity without any large-scale redistribution of wealth or challenge to the underlying structure of society.
During the upsurge of the New Left and then the New Right, it was easy to make fun of Bell’s argument. But the radicals of the 1960s never came up with a plausible economic programme, and the market fundamentalists of the 1980s never won popular support for an all-out attack on the state. Now, once again, we are said to live in a “post-ideological” age. Based on consensus and guided by task-forces, Blair’s technocratic reformism (and Clinton’s bite-sized public policy) is the embodiment of Bell’s prediction. When I asked Bell what he thought about Anthony Giddens’s 1994 book Beyond Left and Right, he chuckled. “The argument is a pretty good one,” he told me. “It’s just 30 years behind the times.”
The 1960s were difficult years for Bell’s rationalist welfare liberalism. Alarmed by the anti-authority gestures of the counter-culture and the breakdown of the social fabric in America’s big cities, many of his fellow-thinkers drifted to the right. Bell’s old college friend Irving Kristol, with whom he had founded the journal The Public Interest in 1965, was a leading figure in the movement which became known as neo-conservatism. Neo-conservatives argued that activist social policy was subject to a “law of unintended consequences” and tended to do more harm than good. Kristol once described a neo-conservative as “a liberal who’s been mugged by reality.”
Bell himself has often been labelled a neo-conservative, but he rejects the description. He shared many of his friends’ concerns about ill-thought-out public policy and about the hostility of the 1960s sensibility to tradition. At the same time, he continued to mount an anguished defence of some disputed liberal programmes, including affirmative action for minorities, which was to become a touchstone for neo-conservatives. In the watershed 1972 election, when many former liberals gave their support to Richard Nixon, Bell voted with reluctance for the left-wing Democrat, George McGovern. He argued that the neo-conservatives were letting their distrust of ideology turn into an ideology in itself. Nevertheless, the debates of the period spurred him to refine his thoughts about social and cultural change and led to the two books which constitute his most important legacy.
The first of these was The Coming of Post-Industrial Society, sub-titled “A Venture in Social Forecasting.” In the book, Bell posits a theory which has since become a commonplace: that the processing of knowledge was replacing the manufacture of goods as the characteristic activity of advanced societies, and that this would have far-reaching social consequences. Instead of manipulating tools, the new worker would be engaged in “a game between persons.” Building on his earlier writing, Bell argued that traditional class distinctions had less relevance in this new context. In a post-industrial society, what would count was educational attainment and access to knowledge. He predicted that a new knowledge class would come to occupy the top rung of the social ladder.
Where the old left attributed social disharmony to a shortage of resources, Bell suggested that post-industrial society would see new kinds of scarcity: scarcity of time, and scarcity of information. Technological change would bring rising standards of living, but not necessarily greater equality. Against the egalitarians of the left, he argued that a technical society required mobility based on merit and skill, and “a more differentiated and intellectual educational system.” Politics in the future would not be about redistribution but about community and “the inclusion of disadvantaged groups.” A truly Blairite formulation.
Bell followed The Coming of Post-Industrial Society with a look at the link between economics and culture. The Cultural Contradictions of Capitalism, published in 1976, grew out of his concern at the decline of American morals. It was a pessimistic book, and accounts for Bell’s reputation as a modern Jeremiah. But his analysis offered no comfort to the declinists of the right. Instead of blaming the moral laxity of modern society on liberalism, he argued that it was inherent in capitalism itself.
Bell followed Max Weber in attributing the take-off of capitalism to the protestant ethic, with its emphasis on asceticism and discipline. But there was always another strand to the capitalist mentality-a restless, striving, individual acquisitiveness. The two halves of the divided bourgeois soul were in tension with each other. Gradually, the traditional values which had given meaning to the capitalist economy came to be overwhelmed by the desires it had unleashed.
There were a number of stages in Bell’s diagnosis of decline. One was the advent of cultural modernism, which drew on the same individualist energies as business enterprise. It broke the bonds of artistic tradition and asserted the centrality of the self. Modernist culture promoted “the idea of boundless experiment… of unconstrained sensibility, of impulse being superior to order, of the imagination being immune to merely rational criticism.” At first these were the values of the avant-garde, confined to an urban elite. However, the coming of mass society in the 20th century allowed them to permeate popular culture and led to the excesses of the 1960s.
At the same time, social changes such as urbanisation, mass communication and easy credit were turning the US into a consumer society. People came to define themselves through spending as much as working, and consumerism encouraged them to gratify their every desire. The deferred gratification of early capitalist production yielded to the instant gratification of later capitalist consumption. Thus, cultural and economic forces conspired to undermine the restraint and morality that had given birth to capitalism and were needed to hold it together. Social values were no longer concerned with “how to work and achieve, but how to spend and enjoy,” Bell wrote. “When the protestant ethic was sundered from bourgeois society, only hedonism remained… the elements that provide men with common identification and effective reciprocity”-family, church and community-lost their hold, and people’s “capacity to maintain sustained relations with each other” was destroyed.
In some respects Cultural Contradictions reads like a product of its times. Bell’s discussion of the 1960s counter-culture overstates the importance of some silly attitude-striking on the part of over-privileged youth. He also seems insensitive to the gains in social tolerance which grew out of the challenge to authority. There is a stodgy quality to his analysis which blinds him to the idealism and vitality of the social movements of the time. In that respect, Todd Gitlin argues, “Bell’s view of the counterculture was always very thin. You could say that he never really ‘got it.’” However, Gitlin concedes that Cultural Contradictions “turns out to have been a very smart book,” and that with hindsight, its central idea about the inherent tensions in capitalism “seems to be basically right.”
Indeed, in most ways, the book seems prophetic. In the 25 years since it was published the impact of an aggressively hedonistic ethos has become far more pervasive in parts of the west. In an Afterword to the latest edition of the book he quotes the example of a gangsta rap record label, condemned for the violence and obscenity of its lyrics, that was dropped by its corporate owner-only to be quietly signed up by another one. Even if one does not share his concern about rap lyrics the implications of his argument reach far beyond the culture wars of the last 20 years. Today it seems indisputable that the difficulty of maintaining the values of social solidarity and decency in an individualistic consumer society is the political problem of our time-echoed in Blairite discussions about “social capital” and “civil society.” Most of the communitarian strand in centre-left politics is an elaboration of the questions Bell raised. According to Alan Wolfe, “the idea that people’s lives are somehow up in the air, that the economic transformations of our time have left a cultural gap that we need to address, that all comes out of his work.”
If there is one thing that Bell failed to anticipate, it is the decline of the big organisation. The Coming of Post-Industrial Society, for all its insight into the coming information age, still envisages a largely bureaucratic economy. Similarly, Cultural Contradictions portrays a conflict between disciplined, hierarchical producers and hedonistic, acquisitive consumers. In fact, the libertarian ethic of the new economy has produced a blurring of categories: computer-age yuppies who turn up to work in T-shirts and work out obsessively at weekends. The American writer David Brooks labels this new class “bourgeois bohemians” or “Bobos.” Brooks claims that the “counter-cultural capitalists” have constructed a new ethos which approaches work as a spiritual vocation and favours environmentalism over ostentation. They have resolved the contradictions of capitalism.
The idea that these new age knowledge workers are the pioneers of a more cohesive capitalism seems a little glib-they seem rather to exude a kind of spiritual narcissism. And while the flexible economy may have given the US a new surge of prosperity, for most workers it remains a source of risk as much as opportunity. This accounts for the striking fact that in this year’s presidential election, Al Gore has improved his standing in the polls by running against Bill Clinton’s legacy from the left. Bell’s diagnosis of capitalism’s vulnerability remains more convincing than Brooks’s celebration of its new vigour.
Asked about his political views, Bell says that he remains “a social democrat in economics, a liberal in politics, and a conservative in culture.” He believes every society has an obligation to give people “that degree of decency to allow them to feel that they are citizens.” At the same time, he believes in the liberal principle of individual rights, and “the individual achievement of social position on the basis of merit.” Finally, he argues that there is a moral basis to social cohesion and that some element of continuity with tradition is “essential to the vitality of a culture.”
In his personal style and tastes, Bell is much more old-fashioned than today’s third way politicians. Bill Clinton and Tony Blair have more than a touch of the Bobo ethos themselves. Nevertheless, his three-part formulation, in its aspirations and ambiguities, captures something essential about the values of the modern centre-left. For his part, Bell looks on New Labour and the New Democrats with a kind of paternalistic approval. “In principle I do sympathise with their approach,” he told me. “The issue of how do you accept the market, but absorb it within a social framework, is clearly the right one to be thinking about.” He also endorses their rejection of egalitarian redistribution in favour of an opportunity-based approach.
The questions begged by Bell’s politics and the third way are similar. With his lifelong distrust of “emotion in politics,” he tends to ignore the value of political passion in creating a broad constituency for reform; popular participation remains essential to democratic politics. The intrinsic conflict between meritocracy and an inclusive society may also be greater than Bell, or the third-wayers, admit. And what happens when the social values of the majority impinge on the rights of the few? Bell the liberal has always rejected political interference in people’s private lives; but such a stance may not be consistent with his ambition to reverse the supposed decline of decency. Bell’s own life has been lucky enough for him to believe that these tensions are bearable, even if they can’t be resolved. His pessimism of the heart remains balanced by his optimism of the will. n